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Library · NVDA

Backtested NVDA swing trading setups.

14 classic swing setups held a real, walk-forward-tested edge on NVDA. NVDA rewards mean-reversion timing: 10 of the 14 are dip buys. Every one ran through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. Sign up free to run any of them on your own account.

14 setups
Mean reversion
RSI(2) dip, MA exit NVDA · 1D

Buy when RSI(2) closes below 10 with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when price closes back above its 5-day average.

Return+281.4%
Win rate76.2%
Max DD-24.8%
Sharpe0.92
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 100 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 9 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
Three-down-days bounce NVDA · 1D

Buy after three straight down closes with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell on the first up close, or after 10 bars.

Return+271.6%
Win rate74.4%
Max DD-11.5%
Sharpe1.18
4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 100 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 6 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
Four-down-days bounce NVDA · 1D

Buy after four straight down closes with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell on the first up close, or after 10 bars.

Return+111.1%
Win rate87.5%
Max DD-14.4%
Sharpe0.87
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 100 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
RSI(2) dip buy NVDA · 1D

Buy when RSI(2) closes below 10 with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when RSI(2) closes back above 70.

Return+379.8%
Win rate77.3%
Max DD-32.4%
Sharpe0.94
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 97 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
Williams %R bounce NVDA · 1D

Buy when Williams %R turns up through -90 (deeply oversold) with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it reaches -30.

Return+153.7%
Win rate73.7%
Max DD-31.0%
Sharpe0.65
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 92 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 12 of 28 tickers
Trend
SMA 20/50 cross NVDA · 1D

Buy when the 20-day SMA crosses above the 50-day SMA. Sell when it crosses back below.

Return+1379.5%
Win rate64.0%
Max DD-63.6%
Sharpe1.11
4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 92 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 9 of 28 tickers
Trend
SuperTrend follower NVDA · 1D

Buy when price crosses above the SuperTrend line (10, 3). Sell when it crosses back below.

Return+1949.1%
Win rate53.7%
Max DD-39.6%
Sharpe1.24
4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 90 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 11 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
Bollinger dip in an uptrend NVDA · 1D

Buy when price closes below the lower Bollinger Band while above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it closes back above the middle band.

Return+356.9%
Win rate92.3%
Max DD-18.5%
Sharpe1.17
4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 86 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
RSI(2) below 5 dip buy NVDA · 1D

Buy when RSI(2) closes below 5 with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when RSI(2) closes back above 70.

Return+83.8%
Win rate78.1%
Max DD-30.1%
Sharpe0.58
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 84 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 10 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
Stochastic %K/%D cross NVDA · 1D

Buy when stochastic %K crosses above %D below 30 with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when %K reaches 80.

Return+306.2%
Win rate87.5%
Max DD-31.0%
Sharpe0.86
4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 82 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
Pin bar at a 20-day low NVDA · 1D

Buy a pin bar that prints at a 20-day low. Sell at a 5-day high, or after 10 bars.

Return+33.9%
Win rate75.0%
Max DD-23.9%
Sharpe0.37
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 81 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers
Trend
EMA 20/50 trend rider NVDA · 1D

Buy when the 20 EMA crosses above the 50 EMA. Sell when price closes below the 50 EMA, with a 10% stop.

Return+404.0%
Win rate28.0%
Max DD-41.6%
Sharpe0.95
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 80 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers
Trend
Parabolic SAR flip NVDA · 1D

Buy when price crosses above the Parabolic SAR with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when price crosses back below the SAR.

Return+1128.5%
Win rate54.8%
Max DD-37.4%
Sharpe1.27
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 80 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 10 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
CCI oversold bounce NVDA · 1D

Buy when CCI(20) turns back up through -100 (oversold) with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it reaches +100.

Return+267.0%
Win rate85.3%
Max DD-34.2%
Sharpe0.78
4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 75 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers
Walk-forwardUnseen time, 4 periods, ~10 years.
Random-entry100 runs with random timing.
No tuningRules taken as preached.