Does CCI oversold bounce actually work on NVDA? We tested it
We ran CCI oversold bounce on NVDA through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 75 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 267% total return on NVDA by buying oversold bounces when the stock was above its 200-day average. The ride was lumpy, with a maximum drawdown of -34.21% that stretched from August 2021 to January 2022, which is where it hurt the most. The high win rate of 85% and average trade gain of 4% suggest the strategy was consistent, but the drawdown shows it still had a painful period. The entry timing has a real edge, beating 75% of random entries, meaning the entry signal itself is carrying the result rather than the exits doing the heavy lifting. The consistency figure shows the edge held up across all four walk-forward test periods, so the profit wasn't just from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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