Library · GLD

Backtested GLD swing trading setups.

15 classic swing setups held a real, walk-forward-tested edge on GLD. GLD rewards trend timing: 11 of the 15 are trend setups. Every one ran through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. Sign up free to run any of them on your own account.

15 setups

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Trend

MACD zero-line cross GLD · 1D

Buy when the MACD line crosses above zero with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it crosses back below zero.

Return+123.3%

Win rate36.7%

Max DD-17.5%

Sharpe0.85

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 99 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 3 of 28 tickers

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Trend

SMA 20/50 cross GLD · 1D

Buy when the 20-day SMA crosses above the 50-day SMA. Sell when it crosses back below.

Return+114.5%

Win rate60.0%

Max DD-19.2%

Sharpe0.77

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 97 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 9 of 28 tickers

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Mean reversion

Connors Double 7s GLD · 1D

Buy a 7-day closing low with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell at a 7-day closing high.

Return+104.8%

Win rate72.4%

Max DD-18.9%

Sharpe1.01

4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 97 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 6 of 28 tickers

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Trend

Aroon trend GLD · 1D

Buy when Aroon-Up crosses above Aroon-Down with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when Aroon-Down crosses back above.

Return+85.3%

Win rate44.7%

Max DD-19.0%

Sharpe0.70

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 96 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 4 of 28 tickers

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Mean reversion

RSI(2) below 5 dip buy GLD · 1D

Buy when RSI(2) closes below 5 with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when RSI(2) closes back above 70.

Return+22.6%

Win rate72.7%

Max DD-9.9%

Sharpe0.49

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 95 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 10 of 28 tickers

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Trend

Awesome Oscillator zero cross GLD · 1D

Buy when the Awesome Oscillator crosses above zero. Sell when it crosses back below.

Return+92.4%

Win rate38.9%

Max DD-21.6%

Sharpe0.69

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 94 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers

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Mean reversion

Bollinger dip in an uptrend GLD · 1D

Buy when price closes below the lower Bollinger Band while above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it closes back above the middle band.

Return+41.2%

Win rate76.2%

Max DD-9.9%

Sharpe0.79

4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 93 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 7 of 28 tickers

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Trend

50-day moving average cross GLD · 1D

Buy when price closes above the 50-day SMA. Sell when it closes back below.

Return+146.2%

Win rate26.9%

Max DD-18.6%

Sharpe0.91

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 93 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 4 of 28 tickers

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Trend

Parabolic SAR flip GLD · 1D

Buy when price crosses above the Parabolic SAR with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when price crosses back below the SAR.

Return+79.4%

Win rate39.2%

Max DD-20.6%

Sharpe0.73

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 88 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 10 of 28 tickers

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Trend

Inside-bar breakout GLD · 1D

Buy when price breaks the previous day's high the bar after an inside bar, in an uptrend. Sell when it closes below the 20 EMA, or after 10 bars.

Return+65.5%

Win rate50.0%

Max DD-10.4%

Sharpe0.94

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 87 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 3 of 28 tickers

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Trend

Keltner channel breakout GLD · 1D

Buy when price closes above the upper Keltner channel (20, 2). Sell when it closes back below the channel midline.

Return+50.7%

Win rate45.0%

Max DD-13.9%

Sharpe0.57

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 86 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 5 of 28 tickers

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Trend

CMF zero cross GLD · 1D

Buy when Chaikin Money Flow crosses above zero with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it crosses back below.

Return+120.9%

Win rate48.6%

Max DD-27.2%

Sharpe0.86

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 85 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 4 of 28 tickers

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Mean reversion

Williams %R bounce GLD · 1D

Buy when Williams %R turns up through -90 (deeply oversold) with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it reaches -30.

Return+29.1%

Win rate72.2%

Max DD-12.6%

Sharpe0.47

4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 82 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 12 of 28 tickers

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Trend

Turtle 55/20 breakout GLD · 1D

Buy a 55-day price breakout. Sell on a 20-day low.

Return+112.5%

Win rate61.1%

Max DD-14.0%

Sharpe0.83

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 79 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 1 of 28 tickers

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Trend

EMA 8/21 trend rider GLD · 1D

Buy when the 8 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA. Sell when price closes below the 21 EMA, with a 10% stop.

Return+37.8%

Win rate29.8%

Max DD-21.7%

Sharpe0.51

3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 76 of 100 random-entry runs.

Edge held on 9 of 28 tickers

Test it yourself, free Full report

Walk-forwardUnseen time, 4 periods, ~10 years.

Random-entry100 runs with random timing.

No tuningRules taken as preached.