Library · SMCI
Backtested SMCI swing trading setups.
3 classic swing setups held a real, walk-forward-tested edge on SMCI. SMCI rewards mean-reversion timing: 2 of the 3 are dip buys. Every one ran through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. Sign up free to run any of them on your own account.
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Mean reversion
Trend
3 setups
Mean reversion
Three-down-days bounce
SMCI · 1D
Buy after three straight down closes with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell on the first up close, or after 10 bars.
Return +185.9%
Win rate 71.1%
Max DD -20.6%
Sharpe 0.77
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 89 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 6 of 28 tickers
Mean reversion
Bollinger snapback
SMCI · 1D
Buy when price closes below the lower Bollinger Band. Sell when it closes back above the middle band.
Return +425.9%
Win rate 80.0%
Max DD -50.8%
Sharpe 0.71
3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 81 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 5 of 28 tickers
Trend
SuperTrend follower
SMCI · 1D
Buy when price crosses above the SuperTrend line (10, 3). Sell when it crosses back below.
Return +395.5%
Win rate 63.0%
Max DD -66.9%
Sharpe 0.69
4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 77 of 100 random-entry runs.
Edge held on 11 of 28 tickers
No setups cleared our bar for that ticker and family. Try another combination.
Walk-forward Unseen time, 4 periods, ~10 years.
Random-entry 100 runs with random timing.
No tuning Rules taken as preached.