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Mean reversion · AVGO · 1D

Does RSI(2) dip buy actually work on AVGO? We tested it

We ran RSI(2) dip buy on AVGO through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 97 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +290.6%
Win rate 75.9%
Max drawdown −21.5%
Trades 83
Sharpe 1.18
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 −2.1% −0.02 15
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 +10.5% 0.54 16
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 +51.3% 2.18 19
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +65.1% 1.49 19
3 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 1.05. Worst period −2.1%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 7 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.

AVGO SHIPPED
97/100 EDGE
NVDA
97/100 EDGE
MSFT
91/100 EDGE
AMD
86/100 EDGE
XOM
86/100 EDGE
MU
84/100 EDGE
QQQ
79/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
GLD
89/100 NONE
MSTR
83/100 NONE
MARA
72/100 NONE
SPY
71/100 NONE
GOOGL
64/100 NONE
META
60/100 NONE
SMCI
53/100 NONE
COIN
49/100 NONE
JPM
47/100 NONE
BA
46/100 NONE
NFLX
43/100 NONE
DIA
41/100 NONE
UBER
40/100 NONE
RIOT
36/100 NONE
TSLA
32/100 NONE
AAPL
27/100 NONE
IWM
19/100 NONE
SOFI
18/100 NONE
AMZN
13/100 NONE
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen RSI of close over 2 bars is below 10 AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (RSI of close over 2 bars is above 70)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made money overall, turning a 290% return on AVGO by buying when the 2-period RSI dipped below 10 while the stock was above its 200-day moving average. The ride was fairly steady with a solid win rate of nearly 76%, but it did have one painful stretch where it lost over 21% from mid-February to early March 2025. That drawdown was the worst hit, and it happened in a concentrated period, not spread out over time. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, since the entry timing edge is strong: your entries beat 97% of random entry runs, meaning the entry signal itself is doing the heavy lifting. The edge also showed up consistently, as the strategy was profitable in three out of four walk-forward test periods, so it wasn't a one-stretch wonder.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.