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Mean reversion · GOOGL · 1D

Does RSI(2) below 5 dip buy actually work on GOOGL? We tested it

We ran RSI(2) below 5 dip buy on GOOGL through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 95 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +79.4%
Win rate 81.1%
Max drawdown −12.4%
Trades 37
Sharpe 0.96
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 +6.8% 0.54 7
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 +15.8% 1.46 8
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 +9.4% 1.11 4
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +30.8% 1.88 11
4 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 1.25. Worst period +6.8%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 10 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 10. We ship it on those.

GOOGL SHIPPED
95/100 EDGE
GLD
95/100 EDGE
MSFT
92/100 EDGE
AMD
91/100 EDGE
NVDA
84/100 EDGE
AVGO
84/100 EDGE
MU
83/100 EDGE
QQQ
81/100 EDGE
UBER
80/100 EDGE
XOM
78/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
MSTR
85/100 NONE
DIA
73/100 NONE
SPY
64/100 NONE
JPM
60/100 NONE
NFLX
48/100 NONE
SMCI
45/100 NONE
MARA
44/100 NONE
TSLA
42/100 NONE
IWM
40/100 NONE
META
37/100 NONE
AAPL
31/100 NONE
BA
30/100 NONE
AMZN
23/100 NONE
SOFI
17/100 NONE
RIOT
11/100 NONE
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
COIN
too new TOO NEW
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen RSI of close over 2 bars is below 5 AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (RSI of close over 2 bars is above 70)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made money, turning a 79% total return over 37 trades, and the ride was fairly steady with a high 81% win rate and an average gain of 1.6% per trade. The worst pain came from a single drawdown of -12.45% that lasted from January to October 2018, which is the only period where the strategy really struggled. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, since the edge shows up consistently across all four walk-forward test periods. The entry timing is strong, beating 95% of random entries, meaning the buy signal itself is doing most of the work rather than the exits. Overall, this is a reliable dip-buying setup that suffers only during prolonged downtrends that break the 200-day moving average.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.