EdgeStacker
Library
Mean reversion · UBER · 1D

Does Williams %R bounce actually work on UBER? We tested it

We ran Williams %R bounce on UBER through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 98 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +134.0%
Win rate 86.4%
Max drawdown −19.2%
Trades 22
Sharpe 1.04
Equity curve

Equity curve over May 2019 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Oct 2020 to Mar 2022 +24.3% 1.23 4
2 Mar 2022 to Aug 2023 +17.0% 0.97 5
3 Aug 2023 to Feb 2025 +19.1% 0.86 7
4 Feb 2025 to Jul 2026 +21.4% 1.56 4
4 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 1.15. Worst period +17.0%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 12 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.

UBER SHIPPED
98/100 EDGE
META
100/100 EDGE
NFLX
98/100 EDGE
XOM
96/100 EDGE
DIA
93/100 EDGE
JPM
93/100 EDGE
NVDA
92/100 EDGE
SPY
91/100 EDGE
GLD
82/100 EDGE
QQQ
81/100 EDGE
AVGO
80/100 EDGE
MU
79/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
RIOT
81/100 NONE
AMD
67/100 NONE
BA
65/100 NONE
IWM
62/100 NONE
GOOGL
58/100 NONE
MSTR
58/100 NONE
MSFT
56/100 NONE
COIN
55/100 NONE
AMZN
52/100 NONE
AAPL
47/100 NONE
SOFI
37/100 NONE
TSLA
12/100 NONE
MARA
10/100 NONE
SMCI
7/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen WILLR of close over 14 bars crosses above -90 AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (WILLR of close over 14 bars is above -30)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made a solid 134% profit over 22 trades, and the ride was fairly steady with a high win rate of 86%. The worst moment was a 19.25% drawdown that stretched from March to August 2024, which is where the strategy hurt the most. The entry timing is a huge factor here, since your real entries outperformed 98% of random entry runs, meaning the signal to buy at the Williams %R bounce is carrying the result rather than the exit. The edge was also consistent, showing up as profitable in all four walk-forward test periods, so it wasn't just one lucky stretch. Overall, this is a reliable setup that makes money steadily, but you have to be ready to sit through a multi-month dip of nearly 20%.

Run this on your own account.

Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.

Test it yourself, free
Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.