Does Williams %R bounce actually work on MU? We tested it
We ran Williams %R bounce on MU through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 79 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a solid profit of 221%, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst moment came in March 2020, when the account dropped 37.66% in just a few days, which shows the strategy can get hit hard during sudden market crashes. With 35 trades and a high win rate of 77%, the result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, but rather by consistent small wins. The entry-timing edge is decent, beating 79% of random entries, meaning the entry signal itself is doing some of the work, but the exits are also important since random entries still came close. The consistency figure shows the edge held up across all four test periods, so the profit did not come from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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