Does Williams %R bounce actually work on META? We tested it
We ran Williams %R bounce on META through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 100 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 216% gain on META with a high win rate of nearly 84%, meaning most trades were winners. However, the ride was not smooth; it suffered a steep 28% drawdown from late February to mid-April 2025, which is where it hurt the most. The entry timing was excellent, beating all 100 random-entry tests, so the setup for getting in is clearly carrying the result rather than the exits. The edge was also consistent, showing up profitably in all four test periods, so the performance isn't just from one lucky stretch. In short, the strategy worked well but had one rough patch that you would have had to sit through.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.