Does Stochastic %K/%D cross actually work on QQQ? We tested it
We ran Stochastic %K/%D cross on QQQ through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 91 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money, turning a 71.9% total return over 31 trades, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst hit was a brutal 22.4% drawdown that happened in just a few days during March 2020, which tells you the setup can get crushed in a fast crash. The high 80% win rate and 1.8% average trade suggest the result is not driven by a few home runs, but rather by many small, consistent wins. The entry timing edge is strong, beating 91% of random entries, meaning the entry signal itself is carrying the result rather than the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge held up across all four test periods, so the profit was not just from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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