Does Stochastic %K/%D cross actually work on META? We tested it
We ran Stochastic %K/%D cross on META through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 91 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 133% total return on META using a simple oversold stochastic crossover with a 200-day filter. The ride was lumpy, not smooth, because while 85% of the 28 trades were winners, the worst drawdown hit a painful 28% drop that lasted from December 2024 to April 2025, which would have tested your patience. That big loss came from a single prolonged stretch, so the result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, but the consistency figure shows the edge held up across all four test periods, meaning it wasn't a one-time fluke. The entry timing is strong, beating 91% of random entries, so getting in at the right moment is carrying the result rather than the exits doing the heavy lifting. In short, the setup works but expects you to sit through a deep, months-long hole before recovering.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.