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Mean reversion · AVGO · 1D

Does RSI(2) below 5 dip buy actually work on AVGO? We tested it

We ran RSI(2) below 5 dip buy on AVGO through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 84 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +115.7%
Win rate 77.3%
Max drawdown −19.8%
Trades 44
Sharpe 0.92
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 +0.8% 0.11 9
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 +7.5% 0.50 10
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 +35.6% 2.13 11
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +17.9% 0.71 9
4 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 0.86. Worst period +0.8%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 10 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 10. We ship it on those.

AVGO SHIPPED
84/100 EDGE
GOOGL
95/100 EDGE
GLD
95/100 EDGE
MSFT
92/100 EDGE
AMD
91/100 EDGE
NVDA
84/100 EDGE
MU
83/100 EDGE
QQQ
81/100 EDGE
UBER
80/100 EDGE
XOM
78/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
MSTR
85/100 NONE
DIA
73/100 NONE
SPY
64/100 NONE
JPM
60/100 NONE
NFLX
48/100 NONE
SMCI
45/100 NONE
MARA
44/100 NONE
TSLA
42/100 NONE
IWM
40/100 NONE
META
37/100 NONE
AAPL
31/100 NONE
BA
30/100 NONE
AMZN
23/100 NONE
SOFI
17/100 NONE
RIOT
11/100 NONE
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
COIN
too new TOO NEW
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen RSI of close over 2 bars is below 5 AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (RSI of close over 2 bars is above 70)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made money, turning a 115.74% total return over 44 trades, and it did so with a high win rate of over 77%, meaning most trades were winners. However, the ride was not perfectly smooth, as the worst drawdown hit nearly 20% and lasted from late October 2024 into early March 2025, which would have been a tough stretch to sit through. The entry timing shows a real edge, beating 84% of random entry runs, so the specific moment you buy when the RSI dips below 5 while price is above the 200-day moving average is carrying the result rather than the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge held up across all four walk-forward test periods, so the profit did not come from just one lucky streak. The main pain point was that long drawdown period, but overall the strategy delivered steady gains without relying on a handful of home run trades.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.