Does Pin bar at a 20-day low actually work on MSFT? We tested it
We ran Pin bar at a 20-day low on MSFT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 93 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 24% gain on Microsoft across 15 trades, but the ride was far from smooth. The worst moment hit with an 11.74% drawdown in June 2026, which is a painful hole to dig out of for a swing trader. The high win rate of 73% looks good, but with only 15 trades, that result could easily be driven by a lucky streak rather than a reliable edge. The entry timing is strong, beating 93% of random entries, meaning the setup itself is doing the heavy lifting rather than the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge held up across all four test periods, so it wasn't just one lucky stretch, but the small number of trades means you should be cautious about expecting this performance to repeat.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.