Does Pin bar at a 20-day low actually work on GOOGL? We tested it
We ran Pin bar at a 20-day low on GOOGL through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 90 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money, turning a 28% total return on GOOGL over 17 trades. The ride was fairly steady, with a 76% win rate and an average gain of 1.5% per trade, but it did have one rough patch where it lost 7.7% over just a few days in early August 2024. That single drawdown was the worst moment, and it came from a concentrated stretch of losses. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, because the entry timing edge is strong, with real entries beating 90% of random entry runs, meaning the entry itself is carrying the result. The edge also shows up consistently, as the strategy was profitable in 3 out of 4 walk forward periods, so the performance is not from one lucky streak.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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