Does Four-down-days bounce actually work on UBER? We tested it
We ran Four-down-days bounce on UBER through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 81 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over May 2019 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, returning nearly 20% over 25 trades, and it won more than three out of every four trades. However, the ride was very lumpy, with a painful worst drawdown of almost 10% that stretched over nine months from mid-2019 to early 2020. That drawdown period is where the strategy hurt most, and it suggests the setup can go through long dry spells. The entry timing shows a strong edge, beating 81% of random entries, so the entry itself is carrying the result rather than the exits. The edge was also fairly consistent, showing up in three of the four test periods, so the profit did not come from just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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