Does Four-down-days bounce actually work on META? We tested it
We ran Four-down-days bounce on META through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 86 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 31.82% gain on META with a high win rate of nearly 74%, meaning most trades were winners. The ride was fairly steady, with a maximum loss of only 5.68% from the account, which happened during a stretch from late May to mid-July 2024. That worst drawdown period was the only real pain point, and it wasn't driven by a handful of bad trades since the strategy took 38 trades total. The entry timing shows a real edge, beating 86% of random entries, so the entry signal itself is doing the heavy lifting rather than the exits. The edge was consistent across all four test periods, so the profit didn't come from just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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