Does Five-day-low pullback actually work on NFLX? We tested it
We ran Five-day-low pullback on NFLX through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 82 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 3. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 176% total return on NFLX over 110 trades. The ride was fairly lumpy, with a maximum drawdown of nearly 29% that lasted about a year from late 2021 through late 2022, which is where it hurt the most. The high win rate of 73.6% suggests the setup was reliable, but the average trade only gained about 1%, so the profits came from many small wins rather than a few big home runs. The entry timing shows a real edge, beating 82% of random entries, meaning the specific condition of buying at a five-day low in an uptrend is doing the heavy lifting rather than the exits. The strategy was consistent across all four walk-forward test periods, so the edge did not come from just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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