Does Bollinger snapback actually work on UBER? We tested it
We ran Bollinger snapback on UBER through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 75 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over May 2019 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 5. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, returning 92.44% on UBER, but the ride was extremely lumpy. The worst moment came during a sharp two-week stretch in March 2020 where the drawdown hit -56.55%, meaning the account nearly got cut in half. Despite a high win rate of 70.59%, that single brutal period shows the strategy can suffer deep, fast losses when the market gaps down hard. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, since the average trade returned a modest 2.27% across 34 trades. The entry-timing edge is solid, beating 75% of random entries, so the entry itself is doing meaningful work, but the exits are also contributing since the strategy relies on a snapback to the middle band rather than a fixed target.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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