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Trend · TSLA · 1D

Does Awesome Oscillator zero cross actually work on TSLA? We tested it

We ran Awesome Oscillator zero cross on TSLA through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 79 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +1934.6%
Win rate 33.3%
Max drawdown −51.3%
Trades 48
Sharpe 1.13
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 +343.4% 2.06 7
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 +107.2% 1.38 8
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 +15.6% 0.47 10
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +47.2% 0.83 12
4 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 1.19. Worst period +15.6%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 7 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.

TSLA SHIPPED
79/100 EDGE
GLD
94/100 EDGE
NFLX
93/100 EDGE
AMD
92/100 EDGE
RIOT
86/100 EDGE
AAPL
83/100 EDGE
QQQ
75/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
MARA
98/100 NONE
META
68/100 NONE
AVGO
66/100 NONE
IWM
65/100 NONE
NVDA
62/100 NONE
AMZN
60/100 NONE
GOOGL
58/100 NONE
SPY
55/100 NONE
DIA
55/100 NONE
JPM
55/100 NONE
MU
52/100 NONE
SMCI
50/100 NONE
MSFT
49/100 NONE
XOM
46/100 NONE
MSTR
41/100 NONE
COIN
40/100 NONE
PLTR
35/100 NONE
BA
31/100 NONE
UBER
24/100 NONE
SOFI
19/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen AO(5/34) of close crosses above 0
Exitwhen a signal fires (AO(5/34) of close crosses below 0)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made a substantial profit of over 1900% on TSLA, but the ride was extremely lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 51% drawdown that lasted about two years, from mid-2017 to mid-2019, which would have been very painful to sit through. The win rate was only 33%, meaning most trades lost money, but the winners were large enough to more than make up for it. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the entry timing itself shows a real edge, beating 79% of random entry runs. The edge was also consistent, showing up as profitable in every single walk-forward test period, so the strategy's performance was not a fluke from one lucky stretch.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.