Does RSI(14) 50-line cross actually work on RIOT? We tested it
We ran RSI(14) 50-line cross on RIOT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 99 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a huge amount of money overall, turning a starting account into nearly 20 times its original size. However, the ride was extremely lumpy, with a brutal drawdown of 76% that lasted for over two and a half years, which means you would have had to stomach seeing most of your money disappear before the big gains came. The win rate is low at only 28%, so most trades lost money, but the winners were massive enough to more than cover the losses. The entry timing edge is very strong, beating 99% of random entries, which tells you that the specific moment you get in is carrying the result rather than the exits doing the heavy lifting. The edge was also consistent, showing up in three out of four test periods, so the success was not just from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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