Does Price / VWMA cross actually work on RIOT? We tested it
We ran Price / VWMA cross on RIOT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 94 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a huge amount of money overall, but the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst stretch was a brutal drawdown of over 78% that lasted more than two years, from early 2021 to mid-2023, meaning you would have watched most of your account evaporate and stay down for a very long time. The win rate is low at only 27%, but the average winning trade was big enough to more than cover the many small losses, which is typical for a trend-following approach. The entry timing is excellent, beating 94% of random entries, so the signal itself is doing the heavy lifting rather than the exit rules. The edge was not consistent across all periods, as the strategy was profitable in only 3 out of 4 walk-forward test periods, meaning one strong period likely carried the overall result.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.