Does Price / VWMA cross actually work on GOOGL? We tested it
We ran Price / VWMA cross on GOOGL through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 93 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 239.92% total return, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a painful -16.80% drawdown that lasted about two years, from early 2022 to early 2024, which is where it hurt most. The win rate is low at 33.01%, meaning most trades lost money, but the average winning trade was big enough to overcome the losses, so the result is not driven by just a few lucky trades. The entry-timing edge is strong, with real entries beating 93% of random entry runs, so the entry signal itself is carrying the result rather than the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge showed up steadily, as the strategy was profitable in 3 out of 4 walk-forward test periods, meaning the profit wasn't from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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