Does SuperTrend follower actually work on QQQ? We tested it
We ran SuperTrend follower on QQQ through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 85 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 11. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This SuperTrend follower strategy turned a 199.81% total return over 40 trades, so it clearly made money overall. The ride was moderately lumpy, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.11 and a worst drawdown of -18.05% that lasted from March 2018 to January 2019, which is where the strategy hurt most. With a 52.50% win rate and an average trade gain of 3.14%, the result is not driven by just a few huge winners, but rather a steady stream of small wins. The entry-timing edge is strong, as real entries beat 85% of random entry runs, meaning the entry itself is carrying the result rather than the exits. The strategy showed consistent profitability across all 4 walk-forward test periods, so the edge is not from one lucky stretch but appears steadily over time.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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