Does SuperTrend follower actually work on MSTR? We tested it
We ran SuperTrend follower on MSTR through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 88 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 11. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a substantial profit of 642.98%, but the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst moment was a brutal 68.06% drawdown that lasted from early 2021 to late 2022, meaning you would have watched most of your money disappear and stay gone for over a year and a half. The win rate was only 41%, so most trades lost money, but the winners were big enough to more than cover the losses. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the entry timing itself shows a strong edge, beating 88% of random entries, so the entry signal is doing most of the work. The edge was also consistent, showing up in 3 out of 4 test periods, so this is not a fluke from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.