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Trend · AVGO · 1D

Does SuperTrend follower actually work on AVGO? We tested it

We ran SuperTrend follower on AVGO through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 89 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +621.4%
Win rate 55.9%
Max drawdown −31.2%
Trades 34
Sharpe 1.01
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 +31.6% 0.78 8
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 +31.6% 0.97 6
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 +69.5% 1.26 7
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +88.2% 1.18 6
4 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 1.05. Worst period +31.6%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 11 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 11. We ship it on those.

AVGO SHIPPED
89/100 EDGE
NVDA
90/100 EDGE
AMD
90/100 EDGE
MSTR
88/100 EDGE
RIOT
86/100 EDGE
QQQ
85/100 EDGE
AAPL
79/100 EDGE
META
79/100 EDGE
GOOGL
78/100 EDGE
NFLX
77/100 EDGE
SMCI
77/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
COIN
93/100 NONE
XOM
69/100 NONE
GLD
63/100 NONE
PLTR
62/100 NONE
SOFI
56/100 NONE
BA
56/100 NONE
MSFT
55/100 NONE
TSLA
54/100 NONE
MARA
53/100 NONE
AMZN
39/100 NONE
MU
32/100 NONE
DIA
27/100 NONE
IWM
26/100 NONE
SPY
22/100 NONE
UBER
14/100 NONE
JPM
10/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen close crosses above SUPERTREND of close over 10 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (close crosses below SUPERTREND of close over 10 bars)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This SuperTrend follower on AVGO made a substantial profit, turning a 621% total return over 34 trades. The ride was moderately steady, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.01 and a solid 55.88% win rate, but it did have one painful stretch. The worst drawdown was a deep 31.18% loss that lasted from June to December 2024, which is where the strategy hurt the most. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the entry-timing edge is strong, beating 89% of random entry runs, meaning the entry signal itself is doing the heavy lifting. The consistency figure shows the edge held up across all four walk-forward test periods, so the profit came from a reliable pattern rather than a single lucky streak.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.