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Trend · AMD · 1D

Does SuperTrend follower actually work on AMD? We tested it

We ran SuperTrend follower on AMD through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 90 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +1247.4%
Win rate 54.1%
Max drawdown −44.9%
Trades 37
Sharpe 1.01
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 +8.5% 0.37 9
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 −18.6% −0.23 8
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 +64.4% 1.06 7
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +146.8% 1.45 7
3 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 0.66. Worst period −18.6%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 11 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 11. We ship it on those.

AMD SHIPPED
90/100 EDGE
NVDA
90/100 EDGE
AVGO
89/100 EDGE
MSTR
88/100 EDGE
RIOT
86/100 EDGE
QQQ
85/100 EDGE
AAPL
79/100 EDGE
META
79/100 EDGE
GOOGL
78/100 EDGE
NFLX
77/100 EDGE
SMCI
77/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
COIN
93/100 NONE
XOM
69/100 NONE
GLD
63/100 NONE
PLTR
62/100 NONE
SOFI
56/100 NONE
BA
56/100 NONE
MSFT
55/100 NONE
TSLA
54/100 NONE
MARA
53/100 NONE
AMZN
39/100 NONE
MU
32/100 NONE
DIA
27/100 NONE
IWM
26/100 NONE
SPY
22/100 NONE
UBER
14/100 NONE
JPM
10/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen close crosses above SUPERTREND of close over 10 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (close crosses below SUPERTREND of close over 10 bars)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made a substantial profit of 1247% over its life, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 44.87% drawdown that lasted over a year from September 2018 to October 2019, which would have been painful to sit through. With only 37 trades over the entire period, the result is driven by a relatively small number of bets, though the 54% win rate shows it won more than it lost. The entry timing is strong, as real entries beat 90% of random entry runs, meaning the specific signals are doing the heavy lifting rather than the exits. The edge was consistent across time, showing up in 3 out of 4 walk-forward test periods, so the profit was not just from one lucky stretch.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.