Does SuperTrend follower actually work on AAPL? We tested it
We ran SuperTrend follower on AAPL through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 79 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 11. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This SuperTrend follower strategy on AAPL made a strong profit of over 600% on 37 trades, with a solid win rate of 54% and an average gain of 6.45% per trade. The ride was moderately lumpy, as the worst drawdown hit -23.19% and lasted from mid-2024 through May 2025, which is a significant and prolonged period of pain. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, because the entry-timing edge shows that real entries outperformed 79% of random entry runs, meaning the entry signal itself is carrying the load rather than the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge was steady, as the strategy was profitable in all 4 walk-forward test periods, so the performance did not come from one lucky stretch. Overall, this strategy made money with a reliable entry signal, but you need to be prepared for a deep and long drawdown that could test your patience.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.