Does 50-day moving average cross actually work on RIOT? We tested it
We ran 50-day moving average cross on RIOT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 92 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a massive amount of money, turning a small starting account into a huge gain of over 12,800%. However, the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst moment was a brutal drawdown of over 73% that lasted from late 2017 through early 2019, meaning you would have watched most of your money disappear before it recovered. The win rate is very low at only about 22%, so the overall profit was driven by a few big winning trades that made up for many small losses. The entry timing has a strong edge, beating 92% of random entries, so the success comes from buying at the right moments, not from how the trades were exited. The edge was also consistent, showing up in every single walk-forward test period, so the profit was not just a fluke from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.