Does 50-day moving average cross actually work on MARA? We tested it
We ran 50-day moving average cross on MARA through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 91 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Oct 2017 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a huge amount of money, turning a 1553% total return, but the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst moment was a staggering 79% drawdown that lasted over two years, from late 2023 into early 2026, which would have been very hard to sit through. The win rate is low at only 28%, meaning most trades lost money, but the winners were massive enough to more than cover the losses. The entry timing is a key strength here, as the real entries beat 91% of random entry runs, so the setup itself is good at picking the right moments to get in. The edge was also consistent, showing up in three out of four test periods, so the result is not just a fluke from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.