Does SMA 20/50 cross actually work on AVGO? We tested it
We ran SMA 20/50 cross on AVGO through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 76 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 9. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a substantial profit of nearly 493% over its life, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst pain came from a massive 36% drawdown that lasted almost a full year from late 2017 to late 2018, which would have been extremely difficult to sit through. The win rate is only 42%, meaning most trades lost money, but the winners were large enough to more than cover the losses. The entry timing edge is solid, beating 76% of random entries, so the signal itself is doing meaningful work rather than the exits carrying the result. The edge also proved consistent, as the strategy was profitable in all four walk forward periods, so the performance was not driven by just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.