Does RSI(14) 50-line cross actually work on MSTR? We tested it
We ran RSI(14) 50-line cross on MSTR through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 84 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a very large total profit of over 1000%, but the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst moment was a staggering 71.6% drawdown that lasted from February to July 2021, meaning your account would have lost nearly three-quarters of its value during that stretch. Only about one in four trades was a winner, which tells you the strategy relied on a few big home runs to overcome many small losses. The entry timing has a strong edge, beating 84% of random entries, so the signal to buy when RSI crosses above 50 while price is above the 200-day moving average is doing most of the work. The consistency figure shows the edge held up in three out of four test periods, so the profit wasn't just from one lucky streak.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.