Does 20 EMA pullback actually work on RIOT? We tested it
We ran 20 EMA pullback on RIOT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 87 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 2. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 145% total return on 93 trades, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 39% drawdown that lasted over a year, from May 2023 to August 2024, which is where the pain really concentrated. The high win rate of 65% and average trade gain of 1.34% suggest the strategy wasn't reliant on a few home runs, but the drawdown shows it can suffer long losing streaks. The entry timing is strong, beating 87% of random entries, meaning the specific moment you buy into the pullback is carrying the result rather than the exits doing the heavy lifting. The edge also showed up consistently across three out of four walk-forward test periods, so the performance wasn't just a lucky one-time stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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