Does 20 EMA pullback actually work on NFLX? We tested it
We ran 20 EMA pullback on NFLX through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 92 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 2. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 185% total return on NFLX. The ride was fairly steady with a high 82% win rate, but it had one very painful stretch where the account dropped 34% from early 2018 to late 2019, which is where it hurt the most. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, since the average trade returned a modest 1%. The entry timing is a key part of the success, as real entries beat 92% of random entry runs, meaning the setup itself is picking good spots to get in. The edge also shows up consistently, as the strategy was profitable in 3 out of 4 test periods, so the profit didn't come from just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.