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Trend · UBER · 1D

Does Parabolic SAR flip actually work on UBER? We tested it

We ran Parabolic SAR flip on UBER through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 83 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +67.0%
Win rate 48.8%
Max drawdown −31.0%
Trades 43
Sharpe 0.54
Equity curve

Equity curve over May 2019 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Oct 2020 to Mar 2022 +36.0% 1.15 7
2 Mar 2022 to Aug 2023 +25.1% 1.06 7
3 Aug 2023 to Feb 2025 −12.5% −0.32 16
4 Feb 2025 to Jul 2026 +12.4% 0.63 9
3 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 0.63. Worst period −12.5%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 10 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 10. We ship it on those.

UBER SHIPPED
83/100 EDGE
MSTR
100/100 EDGE
GOOGL
99/100 EDGE
RIOT
97/100 EDGE
GLD
88/100 EDGE
NFLX
86/100 EDGE
MU
83/100 EDGE
SPY
82/100 EDGE
NVDA
80/100 EDGE
JPM
78/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
MARA
82/100 NONE
QQQ
74/100 NONE
COIN
68/100 NONE
AAPL
66/100 NONE
XOM
64/100 NONE
MSFT
61/100 NONE
AMD
43/100 NONE
TSLA
38/100 NONE
DIA
37/100 NONE
META
35/100 NONE
IWM
30/100 NONE
AMZN
26/100 NONE
SMCI
24/100 NONE
AVGO
22/100 NONE
BA
5/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
SOFI
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen close crosses above PSAR(0.02/0.2) of close AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (close crosses below PSAR(0.02/0.2) of close)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made money overall, returning 67%, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 31% drawdown that lasted a full year, from early 2024 into early 2025, which is where it hurt the most. The entry timing is doing the heavy lifting here, since the real entries beat 83% of random entry runs, meaning the exits are not the main source of profit. The edge was not consistent across all periods, as the strategy was profitable in only 3 out of 4 walk forward test periods, so the result came from a few strong stretches rather than steady performance. With 43 trades and a win rate just under 49%, the profit was not driven by just a handful of big winners, but the long drawdown shows the strategy can stay underwater for a long time.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.