Does Parabolic SAR flip actually work on MU? We tested it
We ran Parabolic SAR flip on MU through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 83 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 10. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a strong profit, turning a 461.68% total return over 70 trades, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 37.83% drawdown that lasted over two years, from early 2021 to mid-2023, which is where the pain was concentrated. The win rate is only 44.29%, meaning you lose more often than you win, but the average winning trade was large enough to overcome the losses. The entry timing has a clear edge, beating 83% of random entries, so the result is not just luck and the entry itself is carrying the performance. The edge was not consistent across all periods, as it was profitable in only 3 out of 4 walk-forward tests, meaning the strategy's success came from one strong stretch rather than steady performance.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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