Does Parabolic SAR flip actually work on JPM? We tested it
We ran Parabolic SAR flip on JPM through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 78 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 10. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 164% total return on JPM, but the ride was quite lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 28.78% drawdown that lasted about a year and a half from early 2018 to mid-2019, which is where the strategy hurt the most. With 71 trades and a win rate just under 47%, the result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the average trade still made a solid 1.51%. The entry timing has a real edge, beating 78% of random entry runs, so the entry itself is carrying the result rather than the exits doing the heavy lifting. The edge also shows up steadily, as the strategy was profitable in three out of four walk-forward test periods, meaning it didn't rely on one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.