Does MACD zero-line cross actually work on MU? We tested it
We ran MACD zero-line cross on MU through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 91 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 3. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a lot of money overall, turning a 914% total return, but the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst moment was a massive 44.64% drawdown that lasted over two and a half years, from April 2021 to November 2023, which would have been very hard to sit through. With only 24 trades and a 37.5% win rate, the result is driven by a few big winners that made up for many losing trades. The entry timing is strong, beating 91% of random entries, so the entry signal itself is carrying the result rather than the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge was present in three out of four test periods, meaning the strategy's profitability wasn't just a fluke from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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