Does Keltner channel breakout actually work on AMD? We tested it
We ran Keltner channel breakout on AMD through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 80 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 5. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a strong 584% total return, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 41.75% drawdown that lasted nearly a year, from early 2017 into early 2018, which is where it hurt most. With only 39 trades over the entire test, the result is driven by a relatively small number of winning trades, and the 46% win rate confirms that losers were frequent. The entry timing shows a solid edge, beating 80% of random entries, meaning the entry signal itself is doing a lot of the heavy lifting. The edge was also consistent, showing up as profitable in all four walk-forward test periods, so it wasn't just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.