Does Holy Grail pullback actually work on AAPL? We tested it
We ran Holy Grail pullback on AAPL through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 77 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 2. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money, turning a 34.48% total return over 16 trades, but the ride was extremely lumpy. The worst moment was a brutal -12.03% drawdown that lasted from February to July 2020, which is a very deep hole for a swing trading strategy. The high win rate of 81.25% looks great, but with only 16 trades total, the result could easily be driven by just a few lucky winners. The entry-timing edge is solid, beating 77% of random entries, meaning the entry signal itself is doing most of the work rather than the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge appeared in all four walk-forward periods, so the profit was not just from one lucky stretch, but the small number of trades means you should be cautious about relying on this setup.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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