Does 20-day high breakout actually work on RIOT? We tested it
We ran 20-day high breakout on RIOT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 98 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 3. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a very large profit of over 2,100% across 27 trades, but the ride was extremely lumpy. The worst moment was a brutal drawdown of nearly 61% that lasted from early 2021 to early 2023, meaning you would have been sitting on a huge loss for over two years. The win rate is just under 50%, so you lost money on more than half of your trades, but the average winning trade was much larger than the average loser, which is how the overall profit was achieved. The entry timing is a key driver here, because the real entries beat 98% of random entry tests, so the breakout signal itself is doing the heavy lifting rather than the exit rules. The edge was also consistent, as the strategy was profitable in all four walk forward periods, so the performance did not come from just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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