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Trend · TSLA · 1D

Does CCI zero-line cross actually work on TSLA? We tested it

We ran CCI zero-line cross on TSLA through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 81 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +847.5%
Win rate 30.6%
Max drawdown −49.9%
Trades 62
Sharpe 1.02
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 +358.1% 2.35 7
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 +98.0% 1.21 20
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 −12.1% −0.43 6
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +51.6% 0.96 17
3 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 1.03. Worst period −12.1%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 4 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.

TSLA SHIPPED
81/100 EDGE
MSTR
100/100 EDGE
GOOGL
95/100 EDGE
AAPL
78/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
RIOT
99/100 NONE
XOM
91/100 NONE
MARA
87/100 NONE
NFLX
83/100 NONE
AMZN
73/100 NONE
IWM
61/100 NONE
SMCI
60/100 NONE
COIN
58/100 NONE
MU
52/100 NONE
JPM
52/100 NONE
NVDA
51/100 NONE
QQQ
43/100 NONE
SPY
42/100 NONE
UBER
42/100 NONE
AMD
41/100 NONE
MSFT
32/100 NONE
META
32/100 NONE
GLD
29/100 NONE
DIA
4/100 NONE
BA
2/100 NONE
AVGO
0/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
SOFI
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen CCI of close over 20 bars crosses above 0 AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (CCI of close over 20 bars crosses below 0)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made a substantial profit of 847.51% over its life, but the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst stretch was a brutal drawdown of nearly 50% that lasted from mid-2017 to late 2019, meaning you would have watched your account shrink by half for over two years before recovering. The win rate is low at only 30.65%, so most trades lost money, but the winning trades were large enough to more than make up for the losses. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the entry timing shows a real edge, beating 81% of random entry runs, meaning the specific entry signal is adding significant value. The consistency figure shows the edge was present across most periods, as the strategy was profitable in 3 out of 4 walk-forward test periods, so the profit did not come from one lucky stretch.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.