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Trend · GOOGL · 1D

Does CCI zero-line cross actually work on GOOGL? We tested it

We ran CCI zero-line cross on GOOGL through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 95 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +273.2%
Win rate 39.8%
Max drawdown −16.7%
Trades 88
Sharpe 1.03
Equity curve

Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Aug 2018 to Jul 2020 −3.7% −0.12 17
2 Jul 2020 to Jul 2022 +29.8% 0.91 20
3 Jul 2022 to Jul 2024 +6.6% 0.33 19
4 Jul 2024 to Jul 2026 +113.1% 2.20 18
3 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 0.83. Worst period −3.7%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 4 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.

GOOGL SHIPPED
95/100 EDGE
MSTR
100/100 EDGE
TSLA
81/100 EDGE
AAPL
78/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
RIOT
99/100 NONE
XOM
91/100 NONE
MARA
87/100 NONE
NFLX
83/100 NONE
AMZN
73/100 NONE
IWM
61/100 NONE
SMCI
60/100 NONE
COIN
58/100 NONE
MU
52/100 NONE
JPM
52/100 NONE
NVDA
51/100 NONE
QQQ
43/100 NONE
SPY
42/100 NONE
UBER
42/100 NONE
AMD
41/100 NONE
MSFT
32/100 NONE
META
32/100 NONE
GLD
29/100 NONE
DIA
4/100 NONE
BA
2/100 NONE
AVGO
0/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
SOFI
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen CCI of close over 20 bars crosses above 0 AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (CCI of close over 20 bars crosses below 0)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made a strong profit of 273% over its life, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a painful 16.70% drawdown that lasted nearly two years from early 2022 to early 2024, which is where the strategy hurt the most. With a win rate under 40%, most trades lost money, but the winners were large enough to more than make up for them. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the entry timing itself shows a strong edge, beating 95% of random entry runs. This means the entry signal is doing the heavy lifting, and the edge showed up consistently across three out of four test periods, so it wasn't a one-time fluke.

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Backtested results, not live trading returns. Fees and slippage included. Not investment advice.