Does Aroon trend actually work on RIOT? We tested it
We ran Aroon trend on RIOT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 87 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a huge amount of money, turning a 7,400% total return on just 20 trades over several years. However, the ride was extremely lumpy, with a brutal 57% drawdown that lasted over two years, meaning you would have watched most of your profits vanish and sat through a long, painful losing stretch. The worst damage came between late 2023 and early 2026, which is where the strategy struggled the most. The entry timing is clearly doing the heavy lifting here, since real entries beat 87% of random entry runs, so getting in at the right moment is what drives the profit, not the exits. The edge is also consistent, as the strategy was profitable in all four walk forward periods, so the result is not just a fluke from one lucky streak.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.