Does Aroon trend actually work on GOOGL? We tested it
We ran Aroon trend on GOOGL through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 96 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a strong profit of 224.58% over its life, but the ride was extremely lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal drawdown of over 30% that lasted more than two years, from late 2021 through late 2023, which would have been very painful to sit through. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the win rate is a solid 66.67% and the average trade returned 4.57%. The entry timing is doing most of the heavy lifting here, since the real entries beat 96% of random entry dates, meaning the exits are less critical to the success. The edge was also consistent, showing up as profitable in all four walk forward test periods, so the strategy's performance was not a fluke from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.